Scientific publications

CalibSun is a spin-off of Solais, a solar engineering consulting firm with over 15 years of expertise in the photovoltaic sector, which allows us to have an invaluable practical knowledge of PV financing, development and operations.

Written by: Pitaval, Sébastien & Wald, Lucien & Ghionda, Florian & Giudicissi, Alexis & Carrière, Thomas & Yezeguelian, Loïc & Boilley, Alexandre

On the optimal selection of meteorological variables as inputs to machine learning models for solar irradiance forecasting

Variables output from numerical weather models are essential and widely used as inputs to machine learning models for forecasting the solar irradiance available at ground level. This abundance of data necessitates an effective optimization strategy to identify the most relevant features and eliminate those with limited impact in order to reduce computational resources.

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Written by: Christophe Vernay, Sébastien Pitaval, Philippe Blanc

Review of Satellite-based Surface Solar Irradiation Databases for the Engineering, the Financing and the Operating of Photovoltaic Systems

This paper reviews the performance of primary satellite databases, highlighting both their value and their physical limitations across the engineering, investment, and operational phases of solar assets

Written by: Thomas Carrière, Georges Kariniotakis

An Integrated Approach for Value-Driven Energy Forecasting and Data-Informed Decision-Making: Application to Renewable Energy Trading

Rather than using a two-step approach (forecasting first, then optimizing dispatch), this paper unifies the forecasting and decision-making steps into a single function. The entire predictive engine is optimized to maximize market revenue.

Written by: Thomas Carrière, Jean Catry, Alexandre Boilley

Cleaning Operations Planning Induced by Monitoring and Modelling of Soiling on Photovoltaic Modules

Dust and soiling degrade the yields of desert-based or industrial solar plants. The authors propose a method to calibrate DustIQ optical sensor measurements across multiple sites. They introduce a decision-making algorithm that uses weather forecasts to schedule module cleanings when they are most cost-effective.

Written by: Fuqiang Zhuang, Rodrigo Amaro e Silva, Thomas Carrière, Benoît Gschwind, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Philippe Blanc

Towards a New Approach for Practical Economic Performance Evaluation of a Non-Grid Connected Hybrid Energy System Without Storage with Integrated Solar Forecasting

For remote, off-grid systems (such as mine sites), using energy storage systems (BESS) increases capital costs. This work presents a Power Management System (PMS) that leverages highly precise, short-term solar forecasts to operate PV/diesel hybrid configurations without storage. It introduces an operational cost-based metric that replaces traditional metrics like RMSE or MAE.

Written by: Ana M. Realpe, Christophe Vernay, Sébastien Pitaval, Camille Lenoir, Philippe Blanc

Benchmarking of five typical meteorological year datasets dedicated to concentrated-PV systems

Comparing various TMY methodologies over an 18-year period using high-quality ground measurements. It defines the ideal dataset generation approach for Concentrating Photovoltaic (CPV) installations, which are highly sensitive to Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI) deviations.

Written by: Christophe Vernay, Sébastien Pitaval, Philippe Blanc

Calibration of Long-Term Estimated Global Horizontal Irradiation by HelioClim-3 Using Short-Term Local Measurement Campaigns: Extending the Results to European and African Sites

This publication expands local calibration algorithms tested in Southern France to European and African sites, establishing ground calibration as a standard practice for reducing financial risk.

Written by: Christophe Vernay, Philippe Blanc, Sébastien Pitaval

Characterization of Measurement Campaigns for an Innovative Approach to Calibrating the Estimated Global Horizontal Irradiation Provided by HelioClim-3

This work evaluates calibration performance variations across multiple sites, offering a systematic way to adapt database estimations based on short-term on-site ground measurement campaigns.

Written by: Loïc Yezeguelian, Christophe Vernay, Thomas Carrière, Philippe Blanc

Characterization of Convergence and Robustness of the Kernel Density Mapping Method for Site Adaptation of Global Horizontal Irradiation in Western Europe

Focuses on adjusting historical satellite databases (Solargis, HelioClim-3, CAMS Radiation) with on-site pyranometric measurements. By using a Kernel Density Mapping (KDM) algorithm, the systemic biases of satellite databases are reduced from ±3% to 0.5%, increasing financing accuracy.

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Our authors

CalibSun was created in 2023 by Sébastien Pitaval and Nicolas Thévenin, the founders of Solaïs, a company that has been an expert in photovoltaics for more than 15 years and a leader in glare studies allowing .

Our resources

Solar & data expertise

Deep-dive our specific know-hows on photovoltaic, solar resource and data science and how they enhance our services. 

Sensor Consulting
We help you get the best out of your sensors, from pre-construction design to day-to-day operation of your PV plant.
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Solar Expertise
Discover how decades of meteorological science and academic research shape our unique approach to solar data.
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Data Science
Dive into the technology behind our data expertise, from data security to AI-driven forecasting.
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Sensor consulting
We help you get the best out of your sensors, from pre-construction design to day-to-day operation of your PV plant.
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Solar expertise
Pyranometers audit & Calibration
Discover how decades of meteorological science and academic research shape our unique approach to solar data.
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Data Science
Pyranometers audit & Calibration
Dive into the technology behind our data expertise, from data security to AI-driven forecasting.
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